Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Running Rifles
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Voldemort 6 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 78 75 78 +0 2 Running Rifles 3 57.5 2 0.30 1.0 75 75 75 +0 3 Mr Molony 3 56.5 3 1.70 1.0 73 71 71 -2 4 Fate Of Fortune 3 58.0 4 2.70 1.0 76 73 73 -3 5 Canadian Bolt 6 56.5 5 4.00 0.0 70 71 71 +1 6 Pewter Sky 3 55.0 6 4.30 1.0 70 65 65 -5 7 Spy Master 3 56.0 7 5.20 1.0 72 67 67 -5 8 Flying Peter 4 60.0 8 5.25 0.5 77 76 76 -1 9 Gentleman's Way 6 55.0 9 5.45 0.0 72 67 67 -5 10 Path To Fortune 3 55.0 10 7.25 1.0 70 65 65 -5 11 Giambattista 3 54.5 11 18.35 1.0 69 64 64 -5 12 Angel Of War 3 59.5 12 23.55 1.0 79 74 74 -5 99 Higher Purpose 4 53.5 99 0.00 0.5 - 63 63 +0 99 The Bayou 7 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Dandolo 4 59.5 99 0.00 0.5 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Voldemort | 78 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Running Rifles Line | 75 | 95 | 75 | +20 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Mr Molony | 73 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fate Of Fortune | 76 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Canadian Bolt | 70 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pewter Sky | 70 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Spy Master | 72 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flying Peter | 77 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Gentleman's Way | 72 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Path To Fortune | 70 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Giambattista | 69 | 87 | 64 | +23 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Angel Of War | 79 | 83 | 74 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Higher Purpose | - | 61 | 63 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | The Bayou | - | 58 | 63 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dandolo | - | 86 | 75 | +11 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points