Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING JUBILEE STAKES (Grade 3) (Open)
Line Horse
Puerto Manzano (ARG)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Puerto Manzano (ARG 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 120 120 120 +0 2 Perfect Witness 3 51.5 2 0.45 2.0 109 106 106 -3 3 Naval Guard 4 52.0 3 0.50 1.0 90 109 109 +19 4 Zillzaal 6 60.0 4 4.75 0.0 117 122 122 +5 5 Second Base 4 60.0 5 4.80 1.0 118 120 120 +2 6 Golden Pheasant 7 58.0 6 6.00 0.0 113 118 118 +5 7 ExpressFromTheUS 5 54.0 7 6.25 0.0 105 110 110 +5 8 Juliet Tango 6 50.0 8 12.00 0.0 98 102 102 +4 9 Western Fort 5 52.0 9 38.00 0.0 76 106 106 +30 10 Baymax 4 52.0 10 99.99 1.0 66 104 104 +38 99 Marchingontogether 6 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 114 114 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Manzano (ARG) Line | 120 | 119 | 120 | -1 | 1.0 | ||
| 2 | Perfect Witness | 109 | 105 | 106 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Naval Guard | 90 | 93 | 109 | -16 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Zillzaal | 117 | 112 | 122 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Second Base | 118 | 99 | 120 | -21 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Golden Pheasant | 113 | 113 | 118 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | ExpressFromTheUS | 105 | 98 | 110 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Juliet Tango | 98 | 81 | 102 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Western Fort | 76 | 76 | 106 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Baymax | 66 | 66 | 104 | -38 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Marchingontogether | - | 102 | 114 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points