Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For Maiden 2 year-old Fillies. R60 000 Win BSA Bon
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Carbonado 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 - - - +0 2 Emily's Spirit 2 60.0 2 0.25 1.0 - - - +0 3 Glitterfox 2 60.0 3 2.50 1.0 - - - +0 4 Tufaan 2 60.0 4 3.00 1.0 - - - +0 5 Begonia 2 58.5 5 4.00 1.0 - - - +0 6 Literal Image 2 60.0 6 4.10 1.0 - - - +0 99 Dream Scape 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 99 Double Duty 2 60.0 99 0.00 1.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carbonado | - | 92 | - | +92 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Emily's Spirit | - | 53 | - | +53 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Glitterfox | - | 57 | - | +57 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Tufaan | - | 55 | - | +55 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Begonia | - | 66 | - | +66 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Literal Image | - | 57 | - | +57 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dream Scape | - | 56 | - | - | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Double Duty | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points