Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WORLD SPORTS BETTING CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 78 and below)
Line Horse
Chilly Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tchaikovsky 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 79 80 80 +1 2 Chilly Winter 5 56.5 2 1.25 0.0 73 73 73 +0 3 Alpine Challenge 2 58.0 3 1.75 1.0 90 74 80 -10 4 Wordsworth 7 54.0 4 1.80 0.0 66 68 68 +2 5 Baltimore Jack 5 58.0 5 1.85 0.0 74 76 76 +2 6 Swift Action 3 56.0 6 2.60 2.0 69 68 68 -1 7 Legitimise 4 56.0 7 2.90 2.5 70 67 67 -3 8 Bluff On Bluff 3 60.0 8 3.30 2.0 78 76 76 -2 9 Bonanza 3 60.0 9 4.55 2.0 80 76 76 -4 10 Silver Salmon 3 60.0 10 7.30 2.0 79 76 76 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tchaikovsky | 79 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Chilly Winter Line | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Alpine Challenge | 90 | 90 | 80 | +10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Wordsworth | 66 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Baltimore Jack | 74 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Swift Action | 69 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Legitimise | 70 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Bluff On Bluff | 78 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bonanza | 80 | 57 | 76 | -19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Silver Salmon | 79 | 65 | 76 | -11 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points