Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 79 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Java House
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Letsdoit 3 56.0 1 0.00 2.0 76 76 76 +0 2 Java House 4 48.0 2 2.00 2.5 59 59 59 +0 3 Ridge To Reef 3 53.5 3 2.25 2.0 76 71 71 -5 4 Double Magic 3 57.0 4 3.00 2.0 80 78 78 -2 5 Kotinos 3 58.0 5 3.50 2.0 80 80 80 +0 6 Back To Basics 3 48.0 6 4.50 2.0 62 60 60 -2 7 Written In Stone 9 54.5 7 4.60 0.0 68 77 77 +9 8 Dark Tide 5 54.0 8 5.50 0.0 75 76 76 +1 9 Edgartown 3 56.5 9 9.00 2.0 74 77 77 +3 10 Trust The Fire 4 51.5 10 14.00 2.5 65 66 66 +1 11 Voyeur 4 56.0 11 21.50 2.5 71 75 75 +4 99 Successful Secret 4 56.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Letsdoit | 76 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Java House Line | 59 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Ridge To Reef | 76 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Double Magic | 80 | 72 | 78 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kotinos | 80 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Back To Basics | 62 | 72 | 60 | +12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Written In Stone | 68 | 67 | 77 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Dark Tide | 75 | 53 | 76 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Edgartown | 74 | 57 | 77 | -20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Trust The Fire | 65 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Voyeur | 71 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Successful Secret | - | 65 | 75 | -10 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points