Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Banzai Pipeline
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cape Eagle 7 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 68 66 68 +0 2 Don't Touch Me 4 59.0 2 1.05 0.5 70 71 71 +1 3 Banzai Pipeline 7 59.5 3 2.85 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Stanley 5 59.5 4 3.35 0.0 71 70 70 -1 5 Master Of Law 3 61.0 5 3.95 1.0 76 71 71 -5 6 Techno Savvy 4 57.5 6 4.75 0.5 67 64 64 -3 7 Galway 6 58.0 7 5.35 0.0 76 66 66 -10 8 A Whole New World 4 56.0 8 5.85 0.5 64 61 61 -3 9 Lake Como 3 57.0 9 6.05 1.0 68 62 62 -6 10 Bugsy Malone 5 56.5 10 7.25 0.0 65 63 63 -2 11 Riccardo 7 52.5 11 7.65 0.0 57 55 55 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cape Eagle | 68 | 106 | 68 | +38 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Don't Touch Me | 70 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Banzai Pipeline Line | 71 | 62 | 71 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Stanley | 71 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Master Of Law | 76 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Techno Savvy | 67 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Galway | 76 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | A Whole New World | 64 | 65 | 61 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Lake Como | 68 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bugsy Malone | 65 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Riccardo | 57 | 68 | 55 | +13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points