Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 88 and below)
Line Horse
Millahue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Piketberg Alley 4 54.0 1 0.00 0.5 70 71 71 +1 2 Navy Strength 3 60.0 2 0.50 1.5 85 88 88 +3 3 Tin Cup 3 54.0 3 0.90 1.5 72 75 75 +3 4 Millahue 3 58.0 4 2.65 1.5 81 81 81 +0 5 Jasmine 4 56.5 5 2.70 0.5 82 80 80 -2 6 Fynbos 5 54.5 6 2.80 0.0 76 76 76 +0 7 Coup De Main 4 56.0 7 4.55 0.5 74 76 76 +2 8 Magical Midlands 4 60.0 8 5.80 0.5 82 83 83 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piketberg Alley | 70 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Navy Strength | 85 | 97 | 88 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Tin Cup | 72 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Millahue Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Jasmine | 82 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Fynbos | 76 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coup De Main | 74 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Magical Midlands | 82 | 79 | 83 | -4 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points