Race 5: 4RACING.TV MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)

VAAL RACECOURSE | Thursday, 21 July 2022 | 14:40

Distance: 2000m
Going: Good
Stakes: R55,000
Weight For Age(SSL) 2yrs:10.5 3yrs:1.5 Weight For Age(SNL) 3yrs:3.5

Race Results

Pos Horse A.C.S. Weight Draw Jockey Len MR CMR Odds
- My True North 4 ch. g 56.0kg 5 Mr J P van der Merwe - - 61 16/1
- So Long Spring 7 b. g 55.0kg 11 Mr J R Syster - - 51 -
1st The Brief 3 b. g 59.5kg 4 Mr G J Lerena - 72 90 7/1
2nd Romeo's Magic 7 ch. g 58.5kg 9 Mr L M van Rensburg 0.2 67 73 9/2
3rd Kayla's Dream 5 b. m 57.5kg 5 Mr M A Yeni 3.25 65 61 16/1
4 San Quintin TF 6 b. g 56.0kg 1 Mr R Munger 3.5 65 58 5/1
5 Pottinger 3 b. g 60.0kg 6 Mr K Matsunyane 4.5 73 70 8/1
6 Mingshi 4 b. g 56.5kg 7 Mr W B Kennedy 5.0 63 56 5/1
7 Arlington Action 6 b. g 59.5kg 3 Mr P J Strydom 6.0 72 73 4/1
8 Fort Alado 5 b. g 53.0kg 8 Mr N Klink 6.5 56 48 125/1
9 August Leaves 5 b. g 60.0kg 10 Mr Mark Khan 9.0 70 60 40/1
10 Orus Apollo 4 b. g 51.0kg (52.5) 2 Mr K A Brewer 9.25 55 46 40/1

Race Timing

Winning Time
122.43s
Average Time
123.78s
Difference
%.2fs
Total Pool
R550,000

Rating Analysis

Horse Pos MR Before MR After Official Δ Expected Δ Discrepancy
The Brief 1 72 90 +18 + 7 + 11
Romeo's Magic 2 67 73 +6 -1 + 7
Kayla's Dream 3 65 61 -4 -2 -2
San Quintin 4 65 58 -7 -2 -5
Pottinger 5 73 70 -3 -2 -1
Mingshi 6 63 56 -7 -2 -5
Arlington Action 7 72 73 +1 -3 + 4
Fort Alado 8 56 48 -8 -3 -5
August Leaves 9 70 60 -10 -4 -6
Orus Apollo 10 55 46 -9 -4 -5
My True North None - 61 - -188 -
So Long Spring None - 51 - -188 -
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms. Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.

Stipes Report