Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: 4RACING.TV MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Kayla's Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Brief 3 59.5 1 0.00 1.5 72 63 72 +0 2 Romeo's Magic 7 58.5 2 0.20 0.0 67 64 64 -3 3 Kayla's Dream 5 57.5 3 3.25 0.0 65 65 65 +0 4 San Quintin 6 56.0 4 3.50 0.0 65 62 62 -3 5 Pottinger 3 60.0 5 4.50 1.5 73 65 65 -8 6 Mingshi 4 56.5 6 5.00 0.5 63 59 59 -4 7 Arlington Action 6 59.5 7 6.00 0.0 72 66 66 -6 8 Fort Alado 5 53.0 8 6.50 0.0 56 53 53 -3 9 August Leaves 5 60.0 9 9.00 0.0 70 67 67 -3 10 Orus Apollo 4 51.0 10 9.25 0.5 55 48 48 -7 99 My True North 4 56.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 58 58 +0 99 So Long Spring 7 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Brief | 72 | 90 | 72 | +18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Romeo's Magic | 67 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Kayla's Dream Line | 65 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | San Quintin | 65 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pottinger | 73 | 70 | 65 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mingshi | 63 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Arlington Action | 72 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fort Alado | 56 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | August Leaves | 70 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Orus Apollo | 55 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | My True North | - | 61 | 58 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | So Long Spring | - | 51 | 57 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points