Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: www.goldcircle.co.za MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Sea Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Runaway Song 6 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 78 73 78 +0 2 Sea Master 4 60.0 2 1.20 0.5 82 82 82 +0 3 Sequoia 6 55.5 3 1.25 0.0 75 74 74 -1 4 Rodriguez 6 55.5 4 2.75 0.0 74 72 72 -2 5 Trade War 3 50.5 5 2.95 0.5 68 61 61 -7 6 Ntabazondi 3 56.5 6 3.20 0.5 77 73 73 -4 7 Imilenzeyokududuma 6 59.0 7 3.80 0.0 82 78 78 -4 8 Papa C 6 53.5 8 4.20 0.0 71 67 67 -4 9 Lord Wylie 7 59.0 9 4.70 0.0 80 77 77 -3 10 Straight Up 5 58.5 10 5.30 0.0 79 76 76 -3 11 Captain Seager 4 58.0 11 5.45 0.5 78 74 74 -4 12 Lady Serena 3 56.0 12 6.75 0.5 76 70 70 -6 13 Bristolbeaufighter 3 56.0 13 9.85 0.5 76 70 70 -6 14 Mr Molony 3 54.0 14 10.45 0.5 72 66 66 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runaway Song | 78 | 98 | 78 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sea Master Line | 82 | 99 | 82 | +17 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Sequoia | 75 | 99 | 74 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Rodriguez | 74 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Trade War | 68 | 70 | 61 | +9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ntabazondi | 77 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Imilenzeyokududuma | 82 | 109 | 78 | +31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Papa C | 71 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lord Wylie | 80 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Straight Up | 79 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Captain Seager | 78 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Lady Serena | 76 | 80 | 70 | +10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Bristolbeaufighter | 76 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 14 | Mr Molony | 72 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points