Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 64 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Fiery Duke
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Valencia             4    59.0    1    0.00     0.5   65    64           65    +0
2    Count Marsh          7    59.0    2    0.10     0.0   62    65           65    +3
3    Fiery Duke           3    55.5    3    1.70     0.5   60    60           60    +0
4    Monsoon Kenny        3    54.0    4    2.10     0.5   62    57           57    -5
5    White Cedar          6    53.0    5    2.50     0.0   58    55           55    -3
6    Charge Down          4    58.0    6    3.20     0.5   60    64           64    +4
7    Sonjador             5    56.5    7    3.25     0.0   57    62           62    +5
8    Pineview             4    51.0    8    3.50     0.5   54    49           49    -5
9    Oh My Word Its Roy   3    54.0    9    3.65     0.5   62    55           55    -7
10   Red Rosa             4    52.0    10   3.70     0.5   56    51           51    -5
11   A Time To Remember   4    56.5    11   5.30     0.5   62    59           59    -3
12   Freedom's Fire       4    58.5    12   7.40     0.5   64    63           63    -1
99   Imitation Game       4    61.0    99   0.00     0.5   -     68           68    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Valencia 65 69 65 +4 0.5 -
2 Count Marsh 62 52 65 -13 0.0 -
3 Fiery Duke Line 60 72 60 +12 0.5
4 Monsoon Kenny 62 60 57 +3 0.5 -
5 White Cedar 58 73 55 +18 0.0 -
6 Charge Down 60 51 64 -13 0.5 -
7 Sonjador 57 51 62 -11 0.0 -
8 Pineview 54 50 49 +1 0.5 -
9 Oh My Word Its Roy 62 50 55 -5 0.5 -
10 Red Rosa 56 51 51 ✓ Match 0.5 -
11 A Time To Remember 62 53 59 -6 0.5 -
12 Freedom's Fire 64 62 63 -1 0.5 -
99 Imitation Game - 61 68 -7 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points