Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 4 AUGUST MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Big Five
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Never To Clever 4 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 54 58 58 +4 2 Big Five 3 60.0 2 2.50 0.5 60 60 60 +0 3 The Chosen One 2 56.0 3 2.75 0.0 - 53 53 +53 4 Central City 5 56.0 4 4.75 0.0 - 51 51 +51 5 Captain Throne 2 56.0 5 7.00 0.0 - 51 51 +51 6 Kentallen Bay 2 56.0 6 9.25 0.0 - 51 51 +51 7 Pendragon 5 56.0 7 9.75 0.0 - 51 51 +51 8 Break Point 2 56.0 8 10.25 0.0 - 51 51 +51 9 Master Of Change 3 58.5 9 11.50 0.5 - 55 55 +55 10 Gimme A Diamond 2 54.5 10 13.00 0.0 - 48 48 +48 11 Knock Twice 3 60.0 11 13.75 0.5 57 58 58 +1 12 Gregor Macgregor 4 60.0 12 16.75 0.5 - 58 58 +58 13 Poole Harbour 2 56.0 13 22.25 0.0 - 51 51 +51 14 That's A Fact 3 60.0 14 27.50 0.5 56 58 58 +2 15 Going Global 3 60.0 15 30.50 0.5 58 58 58 +0 99 Always Better 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 51 51 +0 99 Allaroundtheworld ( 3 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 58 58 +0 99 Carrisbrooke 3 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Never To Clever | 54 | 64 | 58 | +6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Big Five Line | 60 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | The Chosen One | - | 52 | 53 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Central City | - | 81 | 51 | +30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Captain Throne | - | 57 | 51 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Kentallen Bay | - | 90 | 51 | +39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pendragon | - | 73 | 51 | +22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Break Point | - | 74 | 51 | +23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Master Of Change | - | 42 | 55 | -13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Gimme A Diamond | - | 54 | 48 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Knock Twice | 57 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Gregor Macgregor | - | 63 | 58 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Poole Harbour | - | 45 | 51 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | That's A Fact | 56 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 15 | Going Global | 58 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Always Better | - | 70 | 51 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Allaroundtheworld (GB) | - | 73 | 58 | +15 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Carrisbrooke | - | - | 58 | -58 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points