Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 5 AUGUST FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Crafty Heart
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Anatura 5 61.0 1 0.00 0.0 70 77 70 +0 2 Cana 4 53.0 2 0.10 7.0 57 47 47 -10 3 Crafty Heart 4 56.0 3 0.35 7.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Get It Done 6 56.5 4 0.60 0.0 63 75 75 +12 5 Alaskan Fate 5 60.5 5 1.35 0.0 69 81 81 +12 6 Queen Louise 4 54.5 6 3.10 7.0 57 53 53 -4 7 Space Oddity 4 48.5 7 3.15 7.0 53 41 43 -10 8 Mrs Hotline 5 61.0 8 3.90 0.0 70 79 79 +9 9 La Duchesse 6 56.5 9 4.40 0.0 61 69 69 +8 10 Silvia Louise 4 56.5 10 5.15 7.0 61 54 54 -7 11 Opera Swing 4 58.0 11 5.65 7.0 64 57 57 -7 12 Wintertime 5 53.0 12 6.15 0.0 54 61 61 +7 13 DutchessBurnedette 4 56.0 13 8.15 7.0 60 53 53 -7 14 Sheeba Darling 3 53.5 14 9.40 10.0 56 42 46 -10 15 Emerald Isla 4 54.5 15 12.40 7.0 57 50 50 -7 16 Pinch Me 4 52.0 16 13.40 7.0 50 45 45 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anatura | 70 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cana | 57 | 58 | 47 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Crafty Heart Line | 60 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Get It Done | 63 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Alaskan Fate | 69 | 66 | 81 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Queen Louise | 57 | 58 | 53 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Space Oddity | 53 | 47 | 43 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mrs Hotline | 70 | 56 | 79 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | La Duchesse | 61 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Silvia Louise | 61 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Opera Swing | 64 | 82 | 57 | +25 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Wintertime | 54 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | DutchessBurnedette | 60 | 64 | 53 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 14 | Sheeba Darling | 56 | 53 | 46 | +7 | 10.0 | - | |
| 15 | Emerald Isla | 57 | 55 | 50 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 16 | Pinch Me | 50 | 45 | 45 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points