Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Narcos
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Vegas Gold 3 60.5 1 0.00 10.5 69 69 69 +0 2 Narcos 3 62.0 2 0.25 10.5 72 72 72 +0 3 Tevye 4 56.0 3 0.75 12.0 60 57 57 -3 4 Jaquar Cat 3 56.0 4 1.50 10.5 60 60 60 +0 5 Travel Master 4 59.0 5 2.00 12.0 66 63 63 -3 6 Winter Assembly 6 58.0 6 2.50 0.0 64 85 85 +21 7 Flower's Ridge 3 59.0 7 4.25 10.5 66 66 66 +0 8 The Carpenter 8 52.0 8 4.50 0.0 49 73 73 +24 9 After The Storm 4 59.0 9 5.75 12.0 66 63 63 -3 10 Jet Captain 3 56.5 10 5.80 10.5 61 61 61 +0 11 Undisclosed 5 59.0 11 5.85 0.0 69 87 87 +18 12 The Sands 6 52.5 12 10.10 0.0 52 74 74 +22 99 Stay The Course 4 57.0 99 0.00 12.0 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegas Gold | 69 | 83 | 69 | +14 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Narcos Line | 72 | 86 | 72 | +14 | 10.5 | ||
| 3 | Tevye | 60 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 12.0 | - | |
| 4 | Jaquar Cat | 60 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | Travel Master | 66 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 12.0 | - | |
| 6 | Winter Assembly | 64 | 55 | 85 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flower's Ridge | 66 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | The Carpenter | 49 | 46 | 73 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | After The Storm | 66 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 12.0 | - | |
| 10 | Jet Captain | 61 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Undisclosed | 69 | 62 | 87 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | The Sands | 52 | 50 | 74 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Stay The Course | - | 67 | 59 | +8 | 12.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points