Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Vida Futura
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ideal Time 3 53.5 1 0.00 10.0 57 57 57 +0 2 Vida Futura 3 57.5 2 4.75 10.0 65 65 65 +0 3 Excelsior 4 55.0 3 5.25 7.0 58 66 66 +8 4 Cane Lime 'n Soda 5 62.0 4 6.50 0.0 72 94 94 +22 5 Mike The Pilot 3 51.5 5 7.50 10.0 56 53 53 -3 6 Royal Shindig 4 61.0 6 8.00 7.0 70 78 78 +8 7 Imperious Duke 5 56.5 7 10.00 0.0 61 83 83 +22 8 Flinders Range 3 57.0 8 12.00 10.0 64 64 64 +0 9 Stateofusa 3 57.5 9 12.50 10.0 64 65 65 +1 99 Super Noir 4 60.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 77 77 +0 99 Willo'thewisp 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ideal Time | 57 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Vida Futura Line | 65 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 10.0 | ||
| 3 | Excelsior | 58 | 53 | 66 | -13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Cane Lime 'n Soda | 72 | 65 | 94 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mike The Pilot | 56 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 10.0 | - | |
| 6 | Royal Shindig | 70 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Imperious Duke | 61 | 58 | 83 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flinders Range | 64 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 10.0 | - | |
| 9 | Stateofusa | 64 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Super Noir | - | 66 | 77 | -11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Willo'thewisp | - | 46 | 74 | -28 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points