Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: THE CABLE MAN MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Blazing Light
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Osceola 2 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 70 70 70 +0 2 Take To War 4 60.0 2 1.60 8.0 60 69 69 +9 3 Blazing Light 3 60.0 3 2.00 10.5 63 63 63 +0 4 Monsieur Chevelle 3 60.0 4 2.75 10.5 62 62 62 +0 5 Belle's First Wave 3 58.5 5 2.95 10.5 57 59 59 +2 6 Luck Of The Iris 4 56.5 6 5.55 8.0 46 57 57 +11 7 Mrs Shelby 2 51.5 7 7.15 0.0 56 63 63 +7 8 Roy's Bolt 3 57.5 8 18.55 10.5 - 54 54 +54 99 Tommy The Kidd 4 60.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Osceola | 70 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Take To War | 60 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Blazing Light Line | 63 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 10.5 | ||
| 4 | Monsieur Chevelle | 62 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | Belle's First Wave | 57 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Luck Of The Iris | 46 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mrs Shelby | 56 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Roy's Bolt | - | 44 | 54 | -10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tommy The Kidd | - | 53 | 64 | -11 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points