Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING POLY CHALLENGE (Open - Leg 1 (Non-Blk Type))
Line Horse
Greenlighttoheaven
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Naval Secret 4 53.5 1 0.00 12.0 75 81 81 +6 2 Greenlighttoheaven 4 59.5 2 0.05 12.0 93 93 93 +0 3 Pleasedtomeetyou 6 62.0 3 1.30 0.0 110 122 122 +12 4 Captain Oupie 4 62.0 4 1.40 12.0 102 98 98 -4 5 Inherit The Rain 4 62.0 5 1.90 12.0 109 98 99 -10 6 Captain Morisco 4 58.0 6 2.90 12.0 90 90 90 +0 7 Jean's Man 5 59.5 7 3.15 0.0 92 117 117 +25 8 Regimental 5 61.0 8 5.90 0.0 97 120 120 +23 9 Rock Garden 3 56.5 9 6.65 10.5 84 90 90 +6 10 Alpha Pappa 5 55.0 10 7.15 0.0 77 108 108 +31 99 Whatever Next 6 62.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 122 122 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naval Secret | 75 | 91 | 81 | +10 | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | Greenlighttoheaven Line | 93 | 83 | 93 | -10 | 12.0 | ||
| 3 | Pleasedtomeetyou | 110 | 110 | 122 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Captain Oupie | 102 | 94 | 98 | -4 | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Inherit The Rain | 109 | 98 | 99 | -1 | 12.0 | - | |
| 6 | Captain Morisco | 90 | 92 | 90 | +2 | 12.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jean's Man | 92 | 92 | 117 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Regimental | 97 | 85 | 120 | -35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rock Garden | 84 | 78 | 90 | -12 | 10.5 | - | |
| 10 | Alpha Pappa | 77 | 73 | 108 | -35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Whatever Next | - | 73 | 122 | -49 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points