Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Trafalgar Square
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Philispiel           7    52.0    1    0.00     0.0   62    54           62    +0
2    Happy Wanderer       5    54.5    2    0.40     0.0   59    59           59    +0
3    Trafalgar Square     6    56.5    3    0.60     0.0   63    63           63    +0
4    Rulership            2    59.0    4    1.60     7.0   82    54           72    -10
5    Mount Greylock       4    59.5    5    1.65     12.0  69    45           59    -10
6    Northern Warrior     7    60.0    6    1.75     0.0   70    70           70    +0
7    Slim Jannie          2    58.5    7    3.05     7.0   84    53           74    -10
8    Sir Pom              4    57.0    8    3.35     12.0  64    40           54    -10
9    Valiente             5    53.5    9    3.95     0.0   65    57           57    -8
10   Hampton Court        7    60.0    10   4.00     0.0   70    70           70    +0
11   Bless Me Fred        6    54.0    11   5.80     0.0   58    58           58    +0
12   Blue Eyes            4    58.0    12   6.40     12.0  66    42           56    -10
13   Gimme A Rainbow      4    57.0    13   8.50     12.0  64    40           54    -10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Philispiel 62 70 62 +8 0.0 -
2 Happy Wanderer 59 55 59 -4 0.0 -
3 Trafalgar Square Line 63 69 63 +6 0.0
4 Rulership 82 118 72 +46 7.0 -
5 Mount Greylock 69 71 59 +12 12.0 -
6 Northern Warrior 70 73 70 +3 0.0 -
7 Slim Jannie 84 95 74 +21 7.0 -
8 Sir Pom 64 57 54 +3 12.0 -
9 Valiente 65 75 57 +18 0.0 -
10 Hampton Court 70 70 70 ✓ Match 0.0 -
11 Bless Me Fred 58 62 58 +4 0.0 -
12 Blue Eyes 66 56 56 ✓ Match 12.0 -
13 Gimme A Rainbow 64 74 54 +20 12.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points