Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: KWAZULU-NATAL STAKES (For All Horses - Non Black Type)
Line Horse
African Skyline
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Teflon Man 4 55.5 1 0.00 4.0 102 94 94 -8 2 African Skyline 6 55.5 2 0.40 0.0 102 102 102 +0 3 Mr Master Starter 6 54.0 3 0.70 0.0 98 99 99 +1 4 Good Traveller 6 52.5 4 1.10 0.0 95 96 96 +1 5 Celtic Beauty 4 53.0 5 2.20 4.0 101 89 91 -10 6 Smorgasbord 6 51.0 6 3.40 0.0 86 93 93 +7 7 Shipholia 5 54.5 7 3.80 0.0 105 100 100 -5 8 Anfields Rocket 5 61.5 8 5.90 0.0 113 114 114 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teflon Man | 102 | 106 | 94 | +12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | African Skyline Line | 102 | 98 | 102 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mr Master Starter | 98 | 97 | 99 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Good Traveller | 95 | 108 | 96 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Celtic Beauty | 101 | 96 | 91 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Smorgasbord | 86 | 77 | 93 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Shipholia | 105 | 104 | 100 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Anfields Rocket | 113 | 106 | 114 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points