Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 64 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
High Velocity
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Count Marsh 7 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 65 74 65 +0 2 High Velocity 4 54.0 2 2.10 6.0 52 52 52 +0 3 Get Carter 4 56.5 3 3.10 6.0 57 56 56 -1 4 Guy Fox 4 53.0 4 6.60 6.0 50 47 47 -3 5 Oh My Word Its Roy 3 54.5 5 7.70 8.5 54 45 45 -9 6 Just As Rich 4 50.5 6 7.90 6.0 53 42 43 -10 7 Quest For The Best 4 55.5 7 7.95 6.0 55 52 52 -3 8 White Cedar 6 56.0 8 8.00 0.0 56 65 65 +9 9 What A Blast 6 53.0 9 29.00 0.0 53 59 59 +6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Count Marsh | 65 | 52 | 65 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | High Velocity Line | 52 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Get Carter | 57 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Guy Fox | 50 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Oh My Word Its Roy | 54 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Just As Rich | 53 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Quest For The Best | 55 | 76 | 52 | +24 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | White Cedar | 56 | 73 | 65 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | What A Blast | 53 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points