Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: #THISISRACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus RA Members)
Line Horse
Count Pablo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Naval Guard 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 65 72 70 +5 2 Alabaster 3 59.0 2 2.50 4.0 67 69 69 +2 3 Count Pablo 3 59.0 3 3.50 4.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Carl Vinson 3 59.0 4 3.75 4.0 - 68 68 +68 5 Nichathan 3 59.0 5 8.00 4.0 - 67 67 +67 6 Ice And Fire 3 56.5 6 8.25 4.0 57 62 62 +5 7 Going Global 3 59.0 7 11.50 4.0 - 67 67 +67 8 Cross Examiner 3 59.0 8 14.00 4.0 66 67 67 +1 9 King Of My Heart 3 55.0 9 16.00 4.0 57 59 59 +2 99 Magic Dancer 3 59.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Bye Bye Birdie 3 59.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Venerable 3 59.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naval Guard | 65 | 93 | 70 | +23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Alabaster | 67 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Count Pablo Line | 68 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Carl Vinson | - | 77 | 68 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nichathan | - | 46 | 67 | -21 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ice And Fire | 57 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Going Global | - | 50 | 67 | -17 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cross Examiner | 66 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | King Of My Heart | 57 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Magic Dancer | - | 61 | 67 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bye Bye Birdie | - | 57 | 67 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Venerable | - | 62 | 67 | -5 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points