Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
High Moon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tom's Act 3 53.5 1 0.00 9.5 66 54 66 +0 2 Eventidor 6 54.5 2 0.90 0.0 68 79 79 +11 3 High Moon 4 57.0 3 1.40 6.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Tabebuia 3 60.0 4 1.60 9.5 79 70 70 -9 5 Iron Will 4 60.0 5 2.30 6.0 87 76 77 -10 6 Special Charm 3 48.0 6 2.90 9.5 63 45 53 -10 7 Wiidski 2 52.0 7 5.90 0.0 83 70 73 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom's Act | 66 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Eventidor | 68 | 89 | 79 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | High Moon Line | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Tabebuia | 79 | 94 | 70 | +24 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Iron Will | 87 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Special Charm | 63 | 104 | 53 | +51 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Wiidski | 83 | 83 | 73 | +10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points