Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
On The Road Again
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Superior Leader      4    57.0    1    0.00     5.0   64    67           64    +0
1    Beerenberg           2    59.5    1    0.00     0.0   85    82           85    +0
3    Swift Action         3    58.0    3    0.50     8.0   67    68           68    +1
4    On The Road Again    3    61.5    4    0.90     8.0   74    74           74    +0
5    Capitaine Maurice    2    58.5    5    1.40     0.0   83    83           83    +0
5    Master Of Africa     2    61.0    5    1.40     0.0   88    88           88    +0
7    Mr Frostie           4    53.5    7    3.15     5.0   57    62           62    +5
8    Heathcliff           2    55.5    8    3.55     0.0   77    75           75    -2
9    The Heat Is On       3    60.0    9    4.05     8.0   71    68           68    -3
10   Persistance          3    59.0    10   4.80     8.0   69    65           65    -4
11   Birdie And Bogie     3    59.5    11   5.00     8.0   70    66           66    -4
12   Castle Time          3    59.5    12   13.75    8.0   70    66           66    -4
13   Negreanu             5    58.5    13   13.95    0.0   67    80           80    +13
99   Power Grid           8    61.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     86           86    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Superior Leader 64 64 64 ✓ Match 5.0 -
1 Beerenberg 85 76 85 -9 0.0 -
3 Swift Action 67 77 68 +9 8.0 -
4 On The Road Again Line 74 79 74 +5 8.0
5 Capitaine Maurice 83 75 83 -8 0.0 -
5 Master Of Africa 88 80 88 -8 0.0 -
7 Mr Frostie 57 51 62 -11 5.0 -
8 Heathcliff 77 100 75 +25 0.0 -
9 The Heat Is On 71 71 68 +3 8.0 -
10 Persistance 69 50 65 -15 8.0 -
11 Birdie And Bogie 70 68 66 +2 8.0 -
12 Castle Time 70 60 66 -6 8.0 -
13 Negreanu 67 67 80 -13 0.0 -
99 Power Grid - 67 86 -19 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points