Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
On The Road Again
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Superior Leader 4 57.0 1 0.00 5.0 64 67 64 +0 1 Beerenberg 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 85 82 85 +0 3 Swift Action 3 58.0 3 0.50 8.0 67 68 68 +1 4 On The Road Again 3 61.5 4 0.90 8.0 74 74 74 +0 5 Capitaine Maurice 2 58.5 5 1.40 0.0 83 83 83 +0 5 Master Of Africa 2 61.0 5 1.40 0.0 88 88 88 +0 7 Mr Frostie 4 53.5 7 3.15 5.0 57 62 62 +5 8 Heathcliff 2 55.5 8 3.55 0.0 77 75 75 -2 9 The Heat Is On 3 60.0 9 4.05 8.0 71 68 68 -3 10 Persistance 3 59.0 10 4.80 8.0 69 65 65 -4 11 Birdie And Bogie 3 59.5 11 5.00 8.0 70 66 66 -4 12 Castle Time 3 59.5 12 13.75 8.0 70 66 66 -4 13 Negreanu 5 58.5 13 13.95 0.0 67 80 80 +13 99 Power Grid 8 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 86 86 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Superior Leader | 64 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 1 | Beerenberg | 85 | 76 | 85 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Swift Action | 67 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | On The Road Again Line | 74 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 8.0 | ||
| 5 | Capitaine Maurice | 83 | 75 | 83 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Master Of Africa | 88 | 80 | 88 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mr Frostie | 57 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Heathcliff | 77 | 100 | 75 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | The Heat Is On | 71 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Persistance | 69 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 8.0 | - | |
| 11 | Birdie And Bogie | 70 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 12 | Castle Time | 70 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 13 | Negreanu | 67 | 67 | 80 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Power Grid | - | 67 | 86 | -19 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points