Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 10 SEPTEMBER MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Phinda Mzala
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Trust The Fire 4 56.5 1 0.00 11.0 61 61 61 +0 2 Phinda Mzala 4 60.0 2 2.00 11.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Rose Velvet 2 58.5 3 2.60 6.5 78 74 74 -4 4 Jet Cat 9 61.0 4 3.90 0.0 70 92 92 +22 5 Bridge Of Spies 6 52.0 5 5.70 0.0 50 74 74 +24 6 Baby Dont Hurt Me 3 57.0 6 6.40 9.5 62 65 65 +3 7 Mercer Girl 6 48.5 7 6.70 0.0 51 67 67 +16 8 Song Of Liberty 3 53.0 8 6.80 9.5 54 57 57 +3 9 Sky Glitter 3 60.0 9 7.00 9.5 68 71 71 +3 10 Big City Girl 4 58.5 10 7.50 11.0 65 65 65 +0 11 Stormy Lass 3 58.5 11 9.30 9.5 65 68 68 +3 12 In The Ether 6 54.0 12 9.55 0.0 56 78 78 +22 13 The Cambo 6 52.0 13 11.00 0.0 52 74 74 +22 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trust The Fire | 61 | 65 | 61 | +4 | 11.0 | - | |
| 2 | Phinda Mzala Line | 68 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 11.0 | ||
| 3 | Rose Velvet | 78 | 73 | 74 | -1 | 6.5 | - | |
| 4 | Jet Cat | 70 | 60 | 92 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bridge Of Spies | 50 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Baby Dont Hurt Me | 62 | 52 | 65 | -13 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mercer Girl | 51 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Song Of Liberty | 54 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Sky Glitter | 68 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Big City Girl | 65 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 11.0 | - | |
| 11 | Stormy Lass | 65 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 9.5 | - | |
| 12 | In The Ether | 56 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | The Cambo | 52 | 49 | 74 | -25 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points