Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Johnny's Hope
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Ravens Sword         3    60.0    1    0.00     8.5   63    64           64    +1
2    Johnny's Hope        2    57.0    2    0.40     0.0   80    80           80    +0
3    L'Ultimo             2    57.0    3    4.50     0.0   -     75           75    +75
4    Soul Captain         2    57.0    4    5.70     0.0   -     75           75    +75
5    Double Silver        3    57.0    5    6.00     8.5   -     58           58    +58
6    Twice As Perfect     3    57.0    6    10.70    8.5   -     58           58    +58
7    Roy's Bolt           3    56.0    7    11.90    8.5   36    56           56    +20
8    Direct Charge        3    57.0    8    15.40    8.5   -     58           58    +58
9    Prince Of Tides      3    55.5    9    15.70    8.5   -     55           55    +55
10   Baltyboys            2    57.0    10   24.20    0.0   30    75           75    +45
99   Star Rated           3    60.0    99   0.00     8.5   -     64           64    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ravens Sword 63 53 64 -11 8.5 -
2 Johnny's Hope Line 80 79 80 -1 0.0
3 L'Ultimo - 61 75 -14 0.0 -
4 Soul Captain - 59 75 -16 0.0 -
5 Double Silver - 74 58 +16 8.5 -
6 Twice As Perfect - 54 58 -4 8.5 -
7 Roy's Bolt 36 44 56 -12 8.5 -
8 Direct Charge - 59 58 +1 8.5 -
9 Prince Of Tides - 49 55 -6 8.5 -
10 Baltyboys 30 30 75 -45 0.0 -
99 Star Rated - 38 64 -26 8.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points