Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Gin And Tonic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Desert Pride 4 52.0 1 0.00 5.0 57 69 57 +0 2 Winter's Destiny 3 60.0 2 0.70 8.0 75 84 84 +9 3 Gin And Tonic 3 54.0 3 0.80 8.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Corner Crusade 3 58.0 4 1.30 8.0 71 78 78 +7 5 Diamond Girl 4 58.5 5 5.00 5.0 71 82 82 +11 6 Green Dream 5 58.0 6 5.50 0.0 70 91 91 +21 7 Star Choice 5 59.0 7 6.40 0.0 72 93 93 +21 8 Lundy Island 4 52.0 8 7.30 5.0 66 69 69 +3 9 Angel Of Justice 3 58.0 9 11.90 8.0 71 75 75 +4 10 Luna Eclipse 4 56.5 10 15.00 5.0 70 78 78 +8 11 Twice The Trip 3 59.0 11 20.30 8.0 73 77 77 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desert Pride | 57 | 61 | 57 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winter's Destiny | 75 | 86 | 84 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gin And Tonic Line | 71 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Corner Crusade | 71 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Diamond Girl | 71 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Green Dream | 70 | 60 | 91 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Star Choice | 72 | 77 | 93 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lundy Island | 66 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Angel Of Justice | 71 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Luna Eclipse | 70 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Twice The Trip | 73 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points