Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Paris Rix
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Narcos 3 52.5 1 0.00 9.5 73 73 73 +0 2 Khaya's Hope 5 61.0 2 0.25 0.0 103 109 109 +6 3 Paris Rix 3 58.5 3 1.00 9.5 85 85 85 +0 4 Cliff Top 2 57.0 4 2.25 6.5 95 88 88 -7 5 Celtillus 5 59.5 5 3.75 0.0 87 106 106 +19 6 Rock Garden 3 58.0 6 5.25 9.5 84 84 84 +0 7 Jet Mirage 3 55.0 7 5.75 9.5 78 78 78 +0 8 Brass Bell 8 55.5 8 7.00 0.0 79 98 98 +19 9 Razor Red 3 53.5 9 7.10 9.5 75 75 75 +0 10 Kuznetsov 2 52.5 10 7.60 6.5 82 79 79 -3 11 Phil's Power 7 54.5 11 9.85 0.0 77 96 96 +19 12 Van Gogh 4 55.0 12 10.10 11.0 77 75 75 -2 13 Cruzador 6 56.5 13 11.35 0.0 81 100 100 +19 14 Slings And Arrows 3 55.0 14 99.99 9.5 78 78 78 +0 99 Vista Nova 4 58.0 99 0.00 11.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narcos | 73 | 86 | 73 | +13 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Khaya's Hope | 103 | 114 | 109 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Paris Rix Line | 85 | 81 | 85 | -4 | 9.5 | ||
| 4 | Cliff Top | 95 | 109 | 88 | +21 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Celtillus | 87 | 92 | 106 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rock Garden | 84 | 78 | 84 | -6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Jet Mirage | 78 | 100 | 78 | +22 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Brass Bell | 79 | 55 | 98 | -43 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Razor Red | 75 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Kuznetsov | 82 | 61 | 79 | -18 | 6.5 | - | |
| 11 | Phil's Power | 77 | 75 | 96 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Van Gogh | 77 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 11.0 | - | |
| 13 | Cruzador | 81 | 61 | 100 | -39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Slings And Arrows | 78 | 92 | 78 | +14 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Vista Nova | - | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 11.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points