Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Tozzetti
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Galactic Path        3    59.0    1    0.00     9.5   74    68           74    +0
2    Nothingelsematters   5    52.0    2    0.30     0.0   76    80           80    +4
3    Tozzetti             3    57.0    3    1.05     9.5   70    70           70    +0
4    Machete Man          2    53.0    4    1.55     0.0   78    80           80    +2
5    Keep Shining         3    54.0    5    2.05     9.5   64    63           63    -1
6    Twice The Master     3    53.0    6    2.35     9.5   62    60           60    -2
7    Policy Target        5    57.0    7    2.55     0.0   68    87           87    +19
8    Coup De Main         4    59.5    8    4.80     6.0   73    76           76    +3
9    Incredibill          3    59.5    9    15.05    9.5   75    69           69    -6
10   Futurismo            3    59.0    10   15.35    9.5   74    68           68    -6
11   Piketberg Alley      4    60.5    11   19.60    6.0   75    78           78    +3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Galactic Path 74 77 74 +3 9.5 -
2 Nothingelsematters 76 73 80 -7 0.0 -
3 Tozzetti Line 70 62 70 -8 9.5
4 Machete Man 78 90 80 +10 0.0 -
5 Keep Shining 64 64 63 +1 9.5 -
6 Twice The Master 62 58 60 -2 9.5 -
7 Policy Target 68 66 87 -21 0.0 -
8 Coup De Main 73 62 76 -14 6.0 -
9 Incredibill 75 70 69 +1 9.5 -
10 Futurismo 74 60 68 -8 9.5 -
11 Piketberg Alley 75 63 78 -15 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points