Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Nevada King
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Slurricane 3 56.0 1 0.00 8.5 62 56 56 -6 2 Nevada King 2 56.5 2 0.50 0.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Mohandas 3 57.0 3 2.50 8.5 - 60 60 +60 4 Doubling Up 2 57.0 4 3.00 0.0 - 77 77 +77 5 Legal Chitchat 3 57.0 5 7.50 8.5 - 58 58 +58 6 Sudden Song 3 60.0 6 7.70 8.5 70 64 64 -6 7 I'm A Man 2 52.0 7 8.95 0.0 69 65 65 -4 8 Tuscan Gold 2 57.0 8 9.35 0.0 - 75 75 +75 9 Beau Kala 2 54.5 9 11.85 0.0 - 70 70 +70 10 Maximus Marmaladus 2 57.0 10 14.10 0.0 - 75 75 +75 11 Mr Winter 2 57.0 11 15.10 0.0 - 75 75 +75 12 Hero's Destiny 3 57.0 12 31.10 8.5 - 58 58 +58 13 Fluid Motion 3 52.0 13 36.85 8.5 53 48 48 -5 99 Jack Ryan 2 50.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slurricane | 62 | 76 | 56 | +20 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Nevada King Line | 79 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mohandas | - | 64 | 60 | +4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Doubling Up | - | 74 | 77 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Legal Chitchat | - | 51 | 58 | -7 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Sudden Song | 70 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | I'm A Man | 69 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tuscan Gold | - | 84 | 75 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Beau Kala | - | 73 | 70 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Maximus Marmaladus | - | 48 | 75 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mr Winter | - | 58 | 75 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Hero's Destiny | - | 40 | 58 | -18 | 8.5 | - | |
| 13 | Fluid Motion | 53 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Jack Ryan | - | 63 | 61 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points