Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 7 OCTOBER MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Notorix
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Soweto Rose          3    60.5    1    0.00     9.5   67    47           67    +0
2    Notorix              6    59.0    2    0.25     0.0   63    63           63    +0
3    Opera Swing          4    58.5    3    0.75     11.0  63    40           53    -10
4    State Of Mind        4    60.0    4    1.00     11.0  66    43           56    -10
5    Dammi                2    57.5    5    1.75     6.5   74    47           64    -10
6    Victory Of Dubai     3    60.5    6    1.85     9.5   67    47           57    -10
7    Jet Captain          3    54.0    7    1.95     9.5   54    34           44    -10
8    Jaquar Cat           3    57.0    8    2.45     9.5   60    40           50    -10
9    Great Melody         3    58.5    9    3.70     9.5   63    43           53    -10
10   Kingston Rock        6    56.5    10   6.45     0.0   59    58           58    -1
11   Ledell's Echo        2    58.5    11   10.70    6.5   76    49           66    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Soweto Rose 67 59 67 -8 9.5 -
2 Notorix Line 63 68 63 +5 0.0
3 Opera Swing 63 82 53 +29 11.0 -
4 State Of Mind 66 65 56 +9 11.0 -
5 Dammi 74 55 64 -9 6.5 -
6 Victory Of Dubai 67 70 57 +13 9.5 -
7 Jet Captain 54 47 44 +3 9.5 -
8 Jaquar Cat 60 46 50 -4 9.5 -
9 Great Melody 63 79 53 +26 9.5 -
10 Kingston Rock 59 50 58 -8 0.0 -
11 Ledell's Echo 76 88 66 +22 6.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points