Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 7 OCTOBER MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Notorix
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Soweto Rose 3 60.5 1 0.00 9.5 67 47 67 +0 2 Notorix 6 59.0 2 0.25 0.0 63 63 63 +0 3 Opera Swing 4 58.5 3 0.75 11.0 63 40 53 -10 4 State Of Mind 4 60.0 4 1.00 11.0 66 43 56 -10 5 Dammi 2 57.5 5 1.75 6.5 74 47 64 -10 6 Victory Of Dubai 3 60.5 6 1.85 9.5 67 47 57 -10 7 Jet Captain 3 54.0 7 1.95 9.5 54 34 44 -10 8 Jaquar Cat 3 57.0 8 2.45 9.5 60 40 50 -10 9 Great Melody 3 58.5 9 3.70 9.5 63 43 53 -10 10 Kingston Rock 6 56.5 10 6.45 0.0 59 58 58 -1 11 Ledell's Echo 2 58.5 11 10.70 6.5 76 49 66 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soweto Rose | 67 | 59 | 67 | -8 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Notorix Line | 63 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Opera Swing | 63 | 82 | 53 | +29 | 11.0 | - | |
| 4 | State Of Mind | 66 | 65 | 56 | +9 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dammi | 74 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | Victory Of Dubai | 67 | 70 | 57 | +13 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Jet Captain | 54 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Jaquar Cat | 60 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Great Melody | 63 | 79 | 53 | +26 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Kingston Rock | 59 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Ledell's Echo | 76 | 88 | 66 | +22 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points