Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: www.hollywoodbets.net MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Future Swing
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Future Swing         2    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   85    85           85    +0
2    Mohandas             3    58.0    2    3.25     8.0   -     71           71    +71
3    Caitlyns Boy         2    58.0    3    4.50     0.0   74    85           85    +11
4    Felidavian           3    58.0    4    5.25     8.0   -     69           69    +69
5    Release Me           3    58.0    5    5.35     8.0   -     69           69    +69
6    Director's Cut       3    58.0    6    6.60     8.0   -     69           69    +69
7    Last Storm           2    58.0    7    7.10     0.0   77    85           85    +8
8    Longshanks           3    58.0    8    10.60    8.0   -     69           69    +69
9    Fortnight            3    58.0    9    14.60    8.0   -     69           69    +69
10   Pegasus Peak         3    58.0    10   16.35    8.0   -     69           69    +69
99   Captain Cola         3    60.0    99   0.00     8.0   -     73           73    +0
99   Contiguous           2    58.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     85           85    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Future Swing Line 85 116 85 +31 0.0
2 Mohandas - 64 71 -7 8.0 -
3 Caitlyns Boy 74 71 85 -14 0.0 -
4 Felidavian - 60 69 -9 8.0 -
5 Release Me - 74 69 +5 8.0 -
6 Director's Cut - 76 69 +7 8.0 -
7 Last Storm 77 66 85 -19 0.0 -
8 Longshanks - 61 69 -8 8.0 -
9 Fortnight - 54 69 -15 8.0 -
10 Pegasus Peak - 48 69 -21 8.0 -
99 Captain Cola - 62 73 -11 8.0 -
99 Contiguous - 76 85 -9 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points