Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 6 JANUARY CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
The Makwakkers
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Midnight Gem 4 58.5 1 0.00 6.0 71 55 55 -16 2 Big City Girl 4 58.5 2 0.05 6.0 70 55 60 -10 3 The Makwakkers 6 58.0 3 2.00 0.0 66 66 66 +0 4 Java House 4 54.5 4 2.05 6.0 61 47 51 -10 5 Midnight Badger 5 60.0 5 2.10 0.0 70 70 70 +0 6 Tiger In The Sun 4 60.0 6 3.50 6.0 71 58 61 -10 7 Feather The Nest 4 56.5 7 4.00 6.0 64 51 54 -10 8 Readysetglo 6 54.5 8 4.25 0.0 63 59 59 -4 9 Urban Rock 5 56.0 9 4.30 0.0 63 62 62 -1 10 Fantasy Flower 4 52.5 10 5.00 6.0 65 43 55 -10 11 Edward Longshanks 3 58.0 11 5.25 5.0 74 56 64 -10 12 Twelve Oaks 7 56.5 12 5.75 0.0 65 63 63 -2 99 Tiki Taka 6 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 58 58 +0 99 Just As Rich 4 56.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 50 50 +0 99 Grindelwald 6 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midnight Gem | 71 | 81 | 55 | +26 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Big City Girl | 70 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | The Makwakkers Line | 66 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Java House | 61 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Midnight Badger | 70 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tiger In The Sun | 71 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Feather The Nest | 64 | 54 | 54 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Readysetglo | 63 | 61 | 59 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Urban Rock | 63 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Fantasy Flower | 65 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Edward Longshanks | 74 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Twelve Oaks | 65 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tiki Taka | - | 48 | 58 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Just As Rich | - | 52 | 50 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Grindelwald | - | 70 | 58 | +12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points