Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING WORK RIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Dream Scape
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bavarian Jet 2 59.0 1 0.00 5.5 66 56 56 -10 2 Dream Scape 5 59.0 2 1.00 0.0 67 67 67 +0 3 Shesakinda Magic 3 60.0 3 3.25 8.5 56 52 52 -4 4 Mercurial Jet 3 60.0 4 3.50 8.5 61 52 52 -9 5 Wonder Woman 6 60.0 5 4.25 0.0 48 69 69 +21 6 Red Centre 2 59.0 6 4.75 5.5 - 56 56 +56 7 Herewegojo 4 60.0 7 6.25 10.0 47 49 49 +2 8 Kommetjie 2 59.0 8 6.75 5.5 42 56 56 +14 9 Runningforthestars 5 60.0 9 7.50 0.0 - 69 69 +69 10 Glitterfox 2 59.0 10 7.75 5.5 60 56 56 -4 11 Racinante 2 59.0 11 8.25 5.5 66 56 56 -10 12 Antonia Augusta 2 59.0 12 8.75 5.5 54 56 56 +2 13 Texas Tornado 2 59.0 13 9.25 5.5 55 56 56 +1 14 Magenta 4 60.0 14 10.50 10.0 48 49 49 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Jet | 66 | 69 | 56 | +13 | 5.5 | - | |
| 2 | Dream Scape Line | 67 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Shesakinda Magic | 56 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Mercurial Jet | 61 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Wonder Woman | 48 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Red Centre | - | 72 | 56 | +16 | 5.5 | - | |
| 7 | Herewegojo | 47 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kommetjie | 42 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 5.5 | - | |
| 9 | Runningforthestars | - | 45 | 69 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Glitterfox | 60 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 5.5 | - | |
| 11 | Racinante | 66 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 5.5 | - | |
| 12 | Antonia Augusta | 54 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 5.5 | - | |
| 13 | Texas Tornado | 55 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 5.5 | - | |
| 14 | Magenta | 48 | 59 | 49 | +10 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points