Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Gimme A Lullaby
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Aisling              3    60.0    1    0.00     8.5   68    68           68    +0
2    Morgan La Fay        2    59.0    2    1.80     5.5   77    72           72    -5
3    Gimme A Lullaby      3    54.0    3    5.00     8.5   56    56           56    +0
4    Kileigh's Fate       4    54.0    4    5.15     10.0  59    53           53    -6
5    Nkalanzinzi          3    54.0    5    6.55     8.5   61    56           56    -5
6    Bonne Bouche         2    61.0    6    6.95     5.5   81    76           76    -5
7    Leopard Lady         4    53.5    7    7.70     10.0  55    52           52    -3
8    Shaken Not Stirred   4    52.5    8    9.00     10.0  51    50           50    -1
9    Enid's Girl          2    56.5    9    12.80    5.5   72    67           67    -5
99   Street Dancing       3    48.0    99   0.00     8.5   -     44           44    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Aisling 68 66 68 -2 8.5 -
2 Morgan La Fay 77 98 72 +26 5.5 -
3 Gimme A Lullaby Line 56 59 56 +3 8.5
4 Kileigh's Fate 59 48 53 -5 10.0 -
5 Nkalanzinzi 61 50 56 -6 8.5 -
6 Bonne Bouche 81 67 76 -9 5.5 -
7 Leopard Lady 55 55 52 +3 10.0 -
8 Shaken Not Stirred 51 55 50 +5 10.0 -
9 Enid's Girl 72 59 67 -8 5.5 -
99 Street Dancing - 49 44 +5 8.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points