Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 21 OCTOBER MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Jean Paul
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Picture The Moment   4    52.5    1    0.00     10.0  53    50           53    +0
2    Blonde Act           3    59.5    2    1.00     8.5   67    67           67    +0
3    Jean Paul            3    59.5    3    1.75     8.5   67    67           67    +0
4    Great Melody         3    57.5    4    2.75     8.5   63    63           63    +0
5    Space Race           4    62.0    5    3.75     10.0  72    69           69    -3
6    Bethel               6    59.0    6    4.25     0.0   66    83           83    +17
7    Psychedelic Eric     3    58.5    7    4.35     8.5   65    65           65    +0
8    The Carpenter        8    52.0    8    4.85     0.0   46    69           69    +23
9    Kingston Rock        6    55.0    9    5.60     0.0   58    75           75    +17
10   Raisetheredlantern   4    52.0    10   7.85     10.0  60    49           50    -10
11   Knave Of Diamonds    3    56.0    11   7.95     8.5   63    60           60    -3
12   Undisclosed          5    59.5    12   17.70    0.0   67    84           84    +17
99   Gentleman            3    54.5    99   0.00     8.5   -     57           57    +0
99   Toureiro             5    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     74           74    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Picture The Moment 53 50 53 -3 10.0 -
2 Blonde Act 67 96 67 +29 8.5 -
3 Jean Paul Line 67 62 67 -5 8.5
4 Great Melody 63 79 63 +16 8.5 -
5 Space Race 72 57 69 -12 10.0 -
6 Bethel 66 76 83 -7 0.0 -
7 Psychedelic Eric 65 50 65 -15 8.5 -
8 The Carpenter 46 46 69 -23 0.0 -
9 Kingston Rock 58 50 75 -25 0.0 -
10 Raisetheredlantern 60 64 50 +14 10.0 -
11 Knave Of Diamonds 63 57 60 -3 8.5 -
12 Undisclosed 67 62 84 -22 0.0 -
99 Gentleman - 46 57 -11 8.5 -
99 Toureiro - 66 74 -8 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points