Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Trust The Fire
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dancing Dora 6 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 62 82 62 +0 2 Trust The Fire 4 57.0 2 2.50 10.0 66 66 66 +0 3 Esquevelle 3 60.0 3 3.10 8.5 72 75 75 +3 4 Smith And Wesson 2 59.0 4 3.25 5.5 81 79 79 -2 5 Daisy Buchanan 2 58.5 5 4.50 5.5 80 78 78 -2 6 Jet Cat 9 57.5 6 4.85 0.0 67 87 87 +20 7 Stormy Seas 4 60.0 7 5.00 10.0 72 72 72 +0 8 Magic Dancer 3 55.5 8 5.50 8.5 63 66 66 +3 9 Montmerency 3 58.5 9 6.00 8.5 69 72 72 +3 10 What A Tiger 5 58.5 10 6.75 0.0 80 89 89 +9 11 Stormy Lass 3 56.0 11 7.50 8.5 64 67 67 +3 12 Giancarlo 2 54.5 12 9.50 5.5 72 70 70 -2 13 Pendragon 5 57.5 13 12.50 0.0 78 87 87 +9 14 Lulu's Boy 5 58.0 14 13.50 0.0 68 88 88 +20 99 Earl of Cardigan 3 55.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 65 65 +0 99 What A Blizzard 3 52.5 99 0.00 8.5 - 60 60 +0 99 Musical Kiss 3 53.5 99 0.00 8.5 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dancing Dora | 62 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Trust The Fire Line | 66 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 10.0 | ||
| 3 | Esquevelle | 72 | 86 | 75 | +11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Smith And Wesson | 81 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 5.5 | - | |
| 5 | Daisy Buchanan | 80 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 5.5 | - | |
| 6 | Jet Cat | 67 | 60 | 87 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Stormy Seas | 72 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Magic Dancer | 63 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Montmerency | 69 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | What A Tiger | 80 | 71 | 89 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Stormy Lass | 64 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | Giancarlo | 72 | 45 | 70 | -25 | 5.5 | - | |
| 13 | Pendragon | 78 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Lulu's Boy | 68 | 71 | 88 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Earl of Cardigan | - | 50 | 65 | -15 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | What A Blizzard | - | 52 | 60 | -8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Musical Kiss | - | 53 | 62 | -9 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points