Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 28 OCTOBER MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Travel Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Notorix 6 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 65 86 65 +0 2 Ledell's Echo 2 57.5 2 0.25 5.5 74 72 72 -2 3 Travel Master 4 58.0 3 1.75 10.0 64 64 64 +0 4 State Of Mind 4 58.5 4 2.50 10.0 65 65 65 +0 5 Verified 3 57.0 5 2.60 8.5 62 65 65 +3 6 Absolu Noir 8 59.5 6 2.70 0.0 67 87 87 +20 7 Quenanza 4 57.5 7 2.95 10.0 63 63 63 +0 8 Spanish Fort 5 52.5 8 3.45 0.0 53 73 73 +20 9 Winter Assembly 6 56.5 9 3.95 0.0 61 81 81 +20 10 Displace Time 3 60.0 10 4.20 8.5 68 71 71 +3 11 High Legislation 3 59.0 11 4.30 8.5 66 69 69 +3 12 Raining Again 6 57.5 12 5.30 0.0 63 83 83 +20 13 Jet Captain 3 52.5 13 5.35 8.5 51 56 56 +5 14 Excelsior 4 54.5 14 7.60 10.0 57 57 57 +0 99 Undisclosed 5 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 87 87 +0 99 Persica 5 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 99 Miss Rose 3 56.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notorix | 65 | 68 | 65 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ledell's Echo | 74 | 88 | 72 | +16 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Travel Master Line | 64 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 10.0 | ||
| 4 | State Of Mind | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Verified | 62 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Absolu Noir | 67 | 50 | 87 | -37 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Quenanza | 63 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Spanish Fort | 53 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Winter Assembly | 61 | 55 | 81 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Displace Time | 68 | 50 | 71 | -21 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | High Legislation | 66 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | Raining Again | 63 | 73 | 83 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Jet Captain | 51 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 14 | Excelsior | 57 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Undisclosed | - | 62 | 87 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Persica | - | 48 | 77 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Miss Rose | - | 57 | 63 | -6 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points