Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Winter Waves
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    White Cedar          6    54.5    1    0.00     0.0   55    52           55    +0
2    Winter Waves         7    57.5    2    1.80     0.0   61    61           61    +0
3    Hatton Hall          6    60.0    3    1.95     0.0   66    66           66    +0
4    Forest Jump          8    59.5    4    5.15     0.0   65    62           62    -3
5    A Time To Remember   4    59.0    5    5.20     2.5   64    56           56    -8
6    Sea Sponge           7    53.5    6    6.00     0.0   53    50           50    -3
7    Quest For The Best   4    57.0    7    8.50     2.5   60    52           52    -8
8    Flying Vision        4    59.0    8    8.90     2.5   64    56           56    -8
9    Tuk Tuk              3    60.0    9    9.50     4.0   75    55           65    -10
10   Montana Sky          5    56.5    10   10.40    0.0   59    56           56    -3
11   Rocky Coast          6    54.0    11   10.45    0.0   54    51           51    -3
12   Sonjador             5    56.5    12   18.75    0.0   64    56           56    -8
99   Dinetto              5    53.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     49           49    +0
99   Hello Again          4    52.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     43           43    +0
99   Stand By Me (AUS)    8    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     47           47    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 White Cedar 55 73 55 +18 0.0 -
2 Winter Waves Line 61 77 61 +16 0.0
3 Hatton Hall 66 62 66 -4 0.0 -
4 Forest Jump 65 62 62 ✓ Match 0.0 -
5 A Time To Remember 64 53 56 -3 2.5 -
6 Sea Sponge 53 50 50 ✓ Match 0.0 -
7 Quest For The Best 60 76 52 +24 2.5 -
8 Flying Vision 64 51 56 -5 2.5 -
9 Tuk Tuk 75 61 65 -4 4.0 -
10 Montana Sky 59 51 56 -5 0.0 -
11 Rocky Coast 54 52 51 +1 0.0 -
12 Sonjador 64 51 56 -5 0.0 -
99 Dinetto - 50 49 +1 0.0 -
99 Hello Again - 51 43 +8 2.5 -
99 Stand By Me (AUS) - 50 47 +3 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points