Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses 3-yrs and older)

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Line Horse
Itsrainingwilliam
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Sun Dazed            6    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   85    107          91    +6
2    Let It Burn          3    58.0    2    1.00     8.5   84    90           90    +6
3    Itsrainingwilliam    2    54.0    3    2.00     5.5   88    88           88    +0
4    Transact             3    56.0    4    2.05     8.5   81    86           86    +5
5    Ragnar Lothbrok      3    56.0    5    2.15     8.5   83    86           86    +3
6    Barney Mcgrew        4    62.0    6    3.40     10.0  93    95           95    +2
7    Moon Rock            7    54.0    7    4.90     0.0   76    99           99    +23
8    The Second Wave      5    60.0    8    6.40     0.0   90    111          111   +21
9    Silver Tycoon        7    58.0    9    8.65     0.0   85    107          107   +22
10   Dragonfly            3    60.0    10   8.95     8.5   91    94           94    +3
11   Final Move           3    54.0    11   13.70    8.5   78    82           82    +4
12   Dean Street          3    58.0    12   14.45    8.5   87    90           90    +3
13   She's A Rainbow      3    57.5    13   15.20    8.5   90    89           89    -1
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Sun Dazed 85 64 91 -27 0.0 -
2 Let It Burn 84 89 90 -1 8.5 -
3 Itsrainingwilliam Line 88 108 88 +20 5.5
4 Transact 81 77 86 -9 8.5 -
5 Ragnar Lothbrok 83 81 86 -5 8.5 -
6 Barney Mcgrew 93 69 95 -26 10.0 -
7 Moon Rock 76 69 99 -30 0.0 -
8 The Second Wave 90 87 111 -24 0.0 -
9 Silver Tycoon 85 74 107 -33 0.0 -
10 Dragonfly 91 71 94 -23 8.5 -
11 Final Move 78 50 82 -32 8.5 -
12 Dean Street 87 102 90 +12 8.5 -
13 She's A Rainbow 90 85 89 -4 8.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points