Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 69 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Fiery Duke
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Diani                5    55.5    1    0.00     0.0   74    70           74    +0
2    Fiery Duke           3    55.0    2    0.50     7.0   60    60           60    +0
3    Joshua Hotsnake      3    58.0    3    1.30     7.0   66    64           64    -2
4    Bless Me Fred        6    48.0    4    1.80     0.0   54    58           58    +4
5    Captain Seager       4    61.0    5    2.30     4.5   71    74           74    +3
6    Quiz Master          3    57.5    6    2.40     7.0   65    62           62    -3
7    Justfortheepenny     5    54.5    7    2.80     0.0   58    70           70    +12
8    Bristolbeaufighter   3    58.0    8    3.00     7.0   66    63           63    -3
9    Mount Greylock       4    58.0    9    3.20     4.5   65    68           68    +3
10   Pedro                6    57.5    10   3.45     0.0   65    75           75    +10
11   Cavalieri            5    60.5    11   3.50     0.0   70    81           81    +11
12   Lake Como            3    57.0    12   4.90     7.0   67    59           59    -8
13   Get Carter           4    53.0    13   7.50     4.5   55    56           56    +1
99   Quick Star           6    61.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     81           81    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Diani 74 96 74 +22 0.0 -
2 Fiery Duke Line 60 72 60 +12 7.0
3 Joshua Hotsnake 66 67 64 +3 7.0 -
4 Bless Me Fred 54 62 58 +4 0.0 -
5 Captain Seager 71 69 74 -5 4.5 -
6 Quiz Master 65 60 62 -2 7.0 -
7 Justfortheepenny 58 65 70 -5 0.0 -
8 Bristolbeaufighter 66 64 63 +1 7.0 -
9 Mount Greylock 65 71 68 +3 4.5 -
10 Pedro 65 72 75 -3 0.0 -
11 Cavalieri 70 73 81 -8 0.0 -
12 Lake Como 67 61 59 +2 7.0 -
13 Get Carter 55 46 56 -10 4.5 -
99 Quick Star - 60 81 -21 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points