Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAB 4RACING APP MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Lord Varys
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mardi Gras 7 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 99 118 99 +0 2 Mini Coop 3 52.0 2 0.30 8.5 77 82 82 +5 3 Lord Varys 4 52.0 3 4.00 10.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Dockofthebay 3 59.0 4 5.75 8.5 94 96 96 +2 5 Captain Hindsight 5 57.5 5 6.00 0.0 91 110 110 +19 6 Mitch Got His Wish 4 55.0 6 8.00 10.0 86 85 85 -1 99 Goodtime Guy 4 60.0 99 0.00 10.0 - 95 95 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mardi Gras | 99 | 83 | 99 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mini Coop | 77 | 76 | 82 | -6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Lord Varys Line | 79 | 75 | 79 | -4 | 10.0 | ||
| 4 | Dockofthebay | 94 | 71 | 96 | -25 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Captain Hindsight | 91 | 112 | 110 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mitch Got His Wish | 86 | 69 | 85 | -16 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Goodtime Guy | - | 96 | 95 | +1 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points