Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses 3-yrs and older)
Line Horse
Northern Song
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pas De Nom 2 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 93 84 84 -9 2 Future Swing 2 50.0 2 0.40 0.0 85 81 81 -4 3 Wecangoallnight 2 56.0 3 0.70 0.0 98 93 93 -5 4 Sugar Mountain 3 60.0 4 1.00 8.0 92 84 84 -8 5 Northern Song 4 60.0 5 1.30 5.0 89 89 89 +0 6 Global Ally 6 56.0 6 2.30 0.0 81 90 90 +9 7 Millahue 3 56.0 7 4.55 8.0 81 72 72 -9 8 Silent War 3 56.0 8 4.65 8.0 82 72 72 -10 9 Pineapple Express 3 54.5 9 5.40 8.0 80 69 70 -10 10 Night Song 5 52.0 10 6.40 0.0 75 80 80 +5 11 Over Two You 3 54.0 11 6.70 8.0 78 68 68 -10 12 Darjeeling 3 56.0 12 17.95 8.0 81 72 72 -9 99 Steinbeck 3 58.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pas De Nom | 93 | 91 | 84 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Future Swing | 85 | 116 | 81 | +35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Wecangoallnight | 98 | 95 | 93 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sugar Mountain | 92 | 122 | 84 | +38 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Northern Song Line | 89 | 77 | 89 | -12 | 5.0 | ||
| 6 | Global Ally | 81 | 97 | 90 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Millahue | 81 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Silent War | 82 | 91 | 72 | +19 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Pineapple Express | 80 | 82 | 70 | +12 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Night Song | 75 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Over Two You | 78 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 12 | Darjeeling | 81 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Steinbeck | - | 79 | 76 | +3 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points