Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Tabebuia
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Whispers Of War (AU 7 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 82 94 82 +0 2 Captain Chorus 5 60.0 2 1.60 0.0 82 99 99 +17 3 Tabebuia 3 58.5 3 1.75 8.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Banha Bridge 5 54.0 4 2.75 0.0 69 85 85 +16 5 Tyrus Express 6 52.0 5 4.50 0.0 66 79 79 +13 6 King Arthur 3 54.0 6 4.75 8.0 70 66 66 -4 7 The Brief 3 58.5 7 5.50 8.0 80 75 75 -5 8 Alfaatik 4 56.0 8 6.50 4.5 75 77 77 +2 9 Fifth Of July 5 57.5 9 7.25 0.0 77 89 89 +12 10 Oyster King 5 55.0 10 7.50 0.0 72 84 84 +12 11 Great Affair 7 59.0 11 9.00 0.0 80 92 92 +12 12 Dawn Of A New Era 4 57.0 12 9.50 4.5 76 79 79 +3 13 Elusive Swann 4 60.0 13 10.50 4.5 82 85 85 +3 14 Run As One 3 59.5 14 21.50 8.0 82 77 77 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whispers Of War (AUS) | 82 | 64 | 82 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Captain Chorus | 82 | 67 | 99 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Tabebuia Line | 80 | 94 | 80 | +14 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Banha Bridge | 69 | 70 | 85 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tyrus Express | 66 | 62 | 79 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | King Arthur | 70 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Brief | 80 | 90 | 75 | +15 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Alfaatik | 75 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Fifth Of July | 77 | 63 | 89 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Oyster King | 72 | 50 | 84 | -34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Great Affair | 80 | 63 | 92 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dawn Of A New Era | 76 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 13 | Elusive Swann | 82 | 72 | 85 | -13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 14 | Run As One | 82 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points