Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 65 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Badrah (AUS)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Royal Kitty 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 62 65 62 +0 2 Forged In Ice 3 60.0 2 0.40 6.0 68 60 60 -8 3 Global Secret 3 58.0 3 0.80 6.0 66 55 56 -10 4 Badrah (AUS) 4 55.5 4 1.00 3.5 55 55 55 +0 5 Meredith Grey 2 54.0 5 1.75 0.0 66 58 58 -8 6 Capriccio 5 55.5 6 2.80 0.0 55 60 60 +5 7 Venturous 3 61.5 7 3.30 6.0 68 59 59 -9 8 Nkalanzinzi 3 56.5 8 6.60 6.0 58 48 48 -10 9 Street Dancing 3 52.5 9 7.40 6.0 49 40 40 -9 10 Troubadix 3 55.0 10 7.55 6.0 60 45 50 -10 99 Angel's Wish 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Kitty | 62 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Forged In Ice | 68 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Global Secret | 66 | 66 | 56 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Badrah (AUS) Line | 55 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 3.5 | ||
| 5 | Meredith Grey | 66 | 68 | 58 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Capriccio | 55 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Venturous | 68 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Nkalanzinzi | 58 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Street Dancing | 49 | 49 | 40 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Troubadix | 60 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Angel's Wish | - | 54 | 67 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points