Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: GOLD STANDARD MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus RA Members)
Line Horse
Bluff On Bluff
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bluff On Bluff 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 77 77 77 +0 2 King Of Colts 3 60.0 2 0.50 5.0 - 77 77 +77 3 Line Of Duty 3 60.0 3 0.75 5.0 - 77 77 +77 4 Forever Bill 3 60.0 4 1.50 5.0 75 77 77 +2 5 Navy Strength 3 60.0 5 3.00 5.0 75 77 77 +2 6 Act Of Thunder 4 60.0 6 4.50 6.0 60 75 75 +15 7 Axl 3 60.0 7 4.75 5.0 - 77 77 +77 8 Castle Time 3 60.0 8 7.50 5.0 - 77 77 +77 9 Negotiator 3 57.5 9 10.25 5.0 - 72 72 +72 10 Sangria's Run 3 60.0 10 13.50 5.0 - 77 77 +77 11 Rivano 3 60.0 11 99.99 5.0 - 77 77 +77 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bluff On Bluff Line | 77 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 5.0 | ||
| 2 | King Of Colts | - | 33 | 77 | -44 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Line Of Duty | - | 75 | 77 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Forever Bill | 75 | 56 | 77 | -21 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Navy Strength | 75 | 97 | 77 | +20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Act Of Thunder | 60 | 55 | 75 | -20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Axl | - | 84 | 77 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Castle Time | - | 60 | 77 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Negotiator | - | - | 72 | -72 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sangria's Run | - | 40 | 77 | -37 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Rivano | - | - | 77 | -77 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points