Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: www.hollywoodbets.net MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses 3-yrs and older)
Line Horse
Double Charge
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Love In Winter 4 56.0 1 0.00 9.0 83 63 63 -20 2 Tchaikovsky 6 58.0 2 0.05 0.0 85 85 85 +0 3 Transact 3 56.0 3 0.25 7.5 81 66 71 -10 4 Dance Variety 2 54.0 4 1.25 5.0 88 67 78 -10 5 Double Charge 5 62.0 5 2.50 0.0 93 93 93 +0 6 Elusive Trader 6 56.0 6 2.70 0.0 81 81 81 +0 7 Lunarcam 3 60.0 7 3.20 7.5 89 74 79 -10 8 Thunder Master 6 56.0 8 3.95 0.0 81 81 81 +0 9 Ragnar Lothbrok 3 56.0 9 4.25 7.5 83 66 73 -10 10 Michael Faraday 2 56.0 10 5.75 5.0 91 71 81 -10 11 Barney Mcgrew 4 62.0 11 6.05 9.0 92 75 82 -10 12 All Lit Up 4 54.0 12 9.30 9.0 76 59 66 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Love In Winter | 83 | 74 | 63 | +11 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tchaikovsky | 85 | 81 | 85 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Transact | 81 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Dance Variety | 88 | 114 | 78 | +36 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Double Charge Line | 93 | 80 | 93 | -13 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Elusive Trader | 81 | 72 | 81 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lunarcam | 89 | 106 | 79 | +27 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Thunder Master | 81 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 83 | 81 | 73 | +8 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Michael Faraday | 91 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Barney Mcgrew | 92 | 69 | 82 | -13 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | All Lit Up | 76 | 76 | 66 | +10 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points