Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Casa Rosada
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Acacia's Blossom 2 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 82 80 82 +0 2 Corner Crusade 3 57.0 2 0.70 7.5 68 71 71 +3 3 Casa Rosada 4 52.0 3 2.50 9.0 58 58 58 +0 4 Vihzoe's Magic 4 58.5 4 2.75 9.0 71 71 71 +0 5 Winter Journey 3 54.5 5 3.05 7.5 63 66 66 +3 6 Noble Storm 3 57.0 6 5.25 7.5 71 71 71 +0 7 Princess Tea 3 59.5 7 7.35 7.5 73 76 76 +3 99 Sting Ray 3 61.5 99 0.00 7.5 - 80 80 +0 99 Retail Therapy 5 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Acacia's Blossom | 82 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Corner Crusade | 68 | 52 | 71 | -19 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Casa Rosada Line | 58 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 9.0 | ||
| 4 | Vihzoe's Magic | 71 | 72 | 71 | +1 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Winter Journey | 63 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 7.5 | - | |
| 6 | Noble Storm | 71 | 78 | 71 | +7 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Princess Tea | 73 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Sting Ray | - | 73 | 80 | -7 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Retail Therapy | - | 70 | 85 | -15 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points