Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 12 NOVEMBER FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Liverpool Legend
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Paschals Samore 5 53.0 1 0.00 0.0 60 66 60 +0 2 Cerulean Dancer 2 52.0 2 0.30 0.0 74 69 69 -5 3 Liverpool Legend 4 55.5 3 1.55 4.5 65 65 65 +0 4 Winning Queen 6 52.0 4 1.80 0.0 54 67 67 +13 5 Trump My Queen 3 59.0 5 2.55 8.0 73 64 64 -9 6 Quiet Rebellion 3 60.0 6 6.25 8.0 75 64 65 -10 7 Littlemarysunshine 2 61.5 7 7.50 0.0 93 83 83 -10 8 Strange Magic 5 55.0 8 11.70 0.0 80 70 70 -10 9 Karin's Legacy 3 53.0 9 12.20 8.0 76 50 66 -10 10 Tinder Dry 3 59.5 10 12.40 8.0 74 63 64 -10 11 Eastern World 3 53.5 11 28.65 8.0 76 51 66 -10 12 Zanobian Princess 2 53.0 12 99.99 0.0 79 66 69 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paschals Samore | 60 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cerulean Dancer | 74 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Liverpool Legend Line | 65 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 4.5 | ||
| 4 | Winning Queen | 54 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Trump My Queen | 73 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Quiet Rebellion | 75 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Littlemarysunshine | 93 | 95 | 83 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Strange Magic | 80 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Karin's Legacy | 76 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tinder Dry | 74 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 11 | Eastern World | 76 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 8.0 | - | |
| 12 | Zanobian Princess | 79 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points