Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: THE BANTRY BAY STAKES (For 3-year-old Horses & older (Non-Black Type))
Line Horse
Trip Of Fortune
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Surjay 3 58.0 1 0.00 7.5 106 111 111 +5 2 Kommetdieding 4 62.0 2 0.30 9.0 129 116 119 -10 3 Trip Of Fortune 3 62.0 3 1.05 7.5 119 119 119 +0 4 Bereave 4 58.0 4 2.30 9.0 106 108 108 +2 5 Tempting Fate 4 58.0 5 2.50 9.0 108 108 108 +0 6 Barzalona 6 58.0 6 2.80 0.0 105 126 126 +21 7 Safe Return 3 56.0 7 2.90 7.5 102 107 107 +5 8 Ambiorix 3 54.0 8 3.30 7.5 100 103 103 +3 9 Universal 3 62.0 9 4.05 7.5 114 119 119 +5 10 Mr Master Starter 6 56.0 10 4.80 0.0 101 122 122 +21 11 Speed Machine 4 60.0 11 5.80 9.0 111 112 112 +1 12 Good Traveller 6 62.0 12 7.05 0.0 120 134 134 +14 13 African Rain 3 62.0 13 7.25 7.5 116 119 119 +3 14 Pomp And Power 3 62.0 14 8.00 7.5 118 119 119 +1 15 Rio Querari 5 62.0 15 8.10 0.0 125 134 134 +9 16 Irish Morning 5 56.0 16 8.60 0.0 101 122 122 +21 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Surjay | 106 | 121 | 111 | +10 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kommetdieding | 129 | 129 | 119 | +10 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Trip Of Fortune Line | 119 | 127 | 119 | +8 | 7.5 | ||
| 4 | Bereave | 106 | 111 | 108 | +3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tempting Fate | 108 | 103 | 108 | -5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Barzalona | 105 | 66 | 126 | -60 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Safe Return | 102 | 83 | 107 | -24 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ambiorix | 100 | 98 | 103 | -5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 9 | Universal | 114 | 114 | 119 | -5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Mr Master Starter | 101 | 97 | 122 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Speed Machine | 111 | 104 | 112 | -8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | Good Traveller | 120 | 108 | 134 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | African Rain | 116 | 110 | 119 | -9 | 7.5 | - | |
| 14 | Pomp And Power | 118 | 120 | 119 | +1 | 7.5 | - | |
| 15 | Rio Querari | 125 | 116 | 134 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Irish Morning | 101 | 100 | 122 | -22 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points