Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses 3-yrs and older)

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Line Horse
Voldemort
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Runaway Song         6    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   88    85           85    -3
2    Lord William         2    60.0    2    0.05     0.0   100   85           90    -10
3    Beerenberg           2    56.0    3    0.25     0.0   93    77           83    -10
4    Voldemort            6    56.0    4    1.75     0.0   80    80           80    +0
5    Tout A Fait          3    58.0    5    2.05     6.0   87    72           77    -10
6    Champion Warrior     3    56.0    6    3.30     6.0   94    66           84    -10
7    Keep It Secret       3    58.5    7    3.35     6.0   91    71           81    -10
8    William Rufus        2    52.0    8    3.55     0.0   84    70           74    -10
9    Silver Tycoon        7    58.0    9    4.05     0.0   85    82           82    -3
10   Wyag                 2    52.0    10   5.05     0.0   84    69           74    -10
11   Aeneas               3    58.0    11   5.80     6.0   85    69           75    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Runaway Song 88 98 85 +13 0.0 -
2 Lord William 100 106 90 +16 0.0 -
3 Beerenberg 93 76 83 -7 0.0 -
4 Voldemort Line 80 81 80 +1 0.0
5 Tout A Fait 87 80 77 +3 6.0 -
6 Champion Warrior 94 97 84 +13 6.0 -
7 Keep It Secret 91 80 81 -1 6.0 -
8 William Rufus 84 88 74 +14 0.0 -
9 Silver Tycoon 85 74 82 -8 0.0 -
10 Wyag 84 74 74 ✓ Match 0.0 -
11 Aeneas 85 82 75 +7 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points